Why Trump and Mamdani might both welcome a fight over Netanyahu

2 weeks ago  ·  4 min read
By William Smith - sandego.net
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Trump and Mamdani May Both Thrive in a Netanyahu Confrontation

Sandego.net – While President Donald Trump’s approval numbers show signs of decline, his political instincts remain remarkably acute. One particular talent he continues to display is selecting adversaries whom he portrays as embodying the entire Democratic Party. Enter New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who found himself at the center of this dynamic within just a few days of refusing to withdraw a campaign commitment regarding Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

A Clash of Federal and Municipal Power

Mamdani had pledged to arrest Netanyahu if the Israeli leader visited New York, despite the International Criminal Court having issued a warrant for his arrest. Trump quickly seized upon this stance, announcing on Monday via his Truth Social platform that Netanyahu would face no arrest whatsoever while on American soil. The statement was delivered in characteristic fashion: “Benjamin Netanyahu will not be arrested, in any way, shape, or form, while in the United States of America.”

This declaration opened the door to a potential confrontation between federal authority and the city where Trump once resided. However, the implications extend well beyond a simple jurisdictional dispute. The incident represents a textbook example of Trump’s strategy of leveraging specific issues or personalities to spark broader political debates. He was not merely defending an ally in Netanyahu, nor simply attempting to establish new obligations with a leader with whom he has experienced recent tensions.

Building a Midterm Narrative

Trump appears to be laying groundwork for his emerging midterm election storyline, one that portrays the Democratic Party as having grown increasingly extreme. Both leaders might actually welcome this confrontation, which carries domestic significance far exceeding what might initially appear as a foreign policy disagreement concerning civilian casualties during Israel’s military operations in Gaza following Hamas’s October 7, 2023 attacks.

The practical question of whether Mamdani possesses the legal authority to arrest Netanyahu remains somewhat complicated. The United States has never ratified the Rome Statute, the international treaty mandating that member nations arrest individuals subject to warrants from the International Criminal Court. Furthermore, Washington has historically permitted even adversarial leaders from nations such as Iran and Cuba to travel to New York for the United Nations General Assembly without interference.

The Fight Matters More Than the Outcome

In this instance, engaging in the dispute proves more valuable than achieving victory within it. The situation also illustrates how American politics is gradually departing from the historical and nearly universal backing of Israel. It serves as a moment that captures the Democratic Party’s wider transformation.

Mamdani is among a new generation of Democrats who’ve adopted sharply anti-Israel rhetoric that delights grassroots liberals.

By declining to abandon his campaign promise to arrest Netanyahu, Mamdani demonstrates his ability to cultivate the political capital accumulated during his electoral campaign. This strategy proves essential as he moves from being an insurgent outsider to functioning as a government insider while pursuing his progressive agenda.

Progressive Views on Israel and Gaza

Mamdani’s positions regarding Israel have evolved into something approaching dogma for numerous progressive and younger Democrats. Many in this demographic believe that Netanyahu committed genocide against tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians. During a New York Times podcast interview, Mamdani expressed his perspective while noting he was consulting legal advisors on the matter.

The prime minister “belongs in The Hague. He’s a war criminal who has been charged by the International Criminal Court,” an opinion “held by many,” Mamdani said.

Israel firmly denies allegations of genocide, maintaining that its military operations constitute legitimate self-defense following the terror assault on Israeli civilians orchestrated by Hamas, a radical Palestinian organization headquartered in Gaza. The Israeli government attributes Palestinian casualties to Hamas’s practice of embedding military installations within civilian neighborhoods.

Connecting Foreign Policy to Domestic Concerns

Both the Biden and Trump administrations have contended that Israel’s conduct does not amount to genocide. Nevertheless, certain prominent Democrats are constructing an anti-Israel framework that extends beyond Gaza into what may become the central midterm election issue: the affordability of middle-class existence.

“I want my tax dollars spent here in Michigan to provide schools in Michigan, to build health care in Michigan, to invest in Michigan rather than to be sent abroad to kill Palestinian people due to genocides and apartheid,” Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed told CNN’s Kasie Hunt on July 2.

A comprehensive feud over Netanyahu would represent yet another development in the evolving relationship between Trump and Mamdani. The two men experienced something resembling a bromance during an Oval Office encounter last year. Trump expressed his positive impressions to conservative radio host Sid Rosenberg in January, noting that they had productive meetings and that Mamdani remained true to his character.

The New York mayor returned to the Oval Office in February, bringing visual aids to support his proposal for substantial federal housing investment in the city. Despite their considerable differences in age, ideology, and temperament, Trump and Mamdani share fundamental characteristics that may prove significant in American politics moving forward.

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