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On the brink: Black lawmakers could lose decades of gains in one year

Published June 15, 2026 · Updated June 15, 2026 · By William Rodriguez

On the Brink: Black Lawmakers Face Erosion of Congressional Gains

On the brink - The United States now faces a significant decline in Black congressional representation since the Voting Rights Act (VRA) was established nearly six decades ago. This potential shift marks the most substantial reduction in Black political influence in Congress in modern history, driven by a redistricting campaign that gained momentum after the Supreme Court weakened the law’s protections against racial discrimination. House Democrats could lose six Black members following this year’s midterm elections, with two incumbents set to step down and four others facing uncertain futures. Additionally, Republican Rep. Burgess Owens of Utah is departing the House after a judicial ruling invalidated the map that had disproportionately benefited his party.

The Supreme Court’s Role in Redistricting

The redistricting strategy, which aims to reshape voting districts to favor the GOP, has intensified in recent years. This effort was accelerated by the Supreme Court’s 2013 decision in Shelby County v. Holder, which effectively dismantled the VRA’s preclearance mechanism. By reducing federal oversight of state voting laws, the ruling opened the door for jurisdictions to redraw maps that could dilute Black voting power. The current midterms could see this strategy bear fruit, with several Black lawmakers facing challenges in their districts. While the goal of the campaign is to secure electoral victories, the broader impact is a historic threat to racial representation, particularly in the South, where the majority of Black Americans reside.

Historical Context of Voting Suppression

For over a century following the nation’s founding, Black Americans were denied the right to vote through legal and social barriers. The Civil War era marked a turning point, as former Confederate states began allowing Black citizens to cast ballots as a condition of rejoining the Union. Federal troops stationed in the South played a crucial role in safeguarding Black access to the ballot box, ensuring that newly enfranchised voters could participate in elections. However, this protection quickly waned as troops were withdrawn, leading to systematic suppression of Black voting rights. State-sanctioned violence, including lynchings and voter intimidation, became common tools to maintain racial hierarchies. By 1877, the end of Reconstruction had signaled the beginning of a long decline in Black political influence, culminating in the loss of nearly all Black representatives in Congress by the early 20th century.

The Voting Rights Act of 1965 was enacted during a pivotal moment in this history. It followed the violent confrontation on Selma’s Edmund Pettus Bridge, where Alabama state troopers assaulted peaceful demonstrators, including civil rights icon John Lewis. This event, known as “Bloody Sunday,” galvanized national support for the law, which was signed by President Lyndon B. Johnson just months later. The VRA became a cornerstone of civil rights, enabling the election of hundreds of Black lawmakers and empowering communities to challenge discriminatory practices. Yet, its recent weakening has reignited fears that this progress could be reversed.

Jim Clyburn: A Symbol of Resilience

Jim Clyburn, a prominent figure in South Carolina’s congressional delegation, has embodied the enduring struggle for Black political power. Elected in 1992, he became the ninth Black representative from the state and the first in over a century, following the end of Reconstruction. Over his 17-term career, Clyburn has wielded considerable influence, ascending to the position of third-ranking Democrat in the House of Representatives. His leadership has been instrumental in shaping policy and advocating for marginalized communities, particularly in the Jim Crow South, where systemic barriers once limited opportunities for Black leaders.

Clyburn’s political stature has made him a key target in this year’s redistricting efforts. A proposed plan to redraw his district was narrowly defeated in the state Senate, with several Republican lawmakers resisting the change. Despite this setback, some Republicans in South Carolina remain committed to altering the district before the 2028 elections. The willingness of state officials to challenge Clyburn’s representation has stunned local residents, who recognize his contributions to the state’s development and progress. “He’s a living legend,” noted Claire Wofford, a political scientist at the College of Charleston, highlighting Clyburn’s impact on infrastructure projects, education, and economic growth.

Redistricting as a Tool for Political Realignment

The redistricting battle has become a defining feature of the 2020s political landscape. Both parties have launched aggressive campaigns to reshape electoral boundaries, with Republicans and Democrats each seeking to maximize their chances of success. This mid-decade push has led to a dramatic increase in the number of maps being redrawn, creating a climate of uncertainty for lawmakers of color. The strategies employed—such as packing and cracking—have targeted communities with high concentrations of Black voters, aiming to fragment their influence and reduce their electoral impact.

The consequences of these tactics are already being felt. In addition to Clyburn, six other Black representatives could lose their seats, a loss that would undermine decades of progress. The erosion of Black representation is not just a numerical decline; it represents a symbolic retreat from the gains achieved through the VRA and the tireless efforts of civil rights activists. As the 2024 midterms approach, the focus on winning elections has overshadowed the importance of maintaining racial equity in the political process.

“What the Supreme Court has done is sanction discrimination against African Americans in the political process,” said Derrick Johnson, president of the NAACP. “The only time in history that we’ve seen this is after Reconstruction.”

Clyburn, now 85, has expressed concern about the current state of affairs. He believes the court’s decision has set the stage for a new era of segregation, echoing the patterns of the past. “This Supreme Court is resegregating this country,” he remarked, underscoring the threat to Black political power. The loss of representation in Congress could have far-reaching effects, not only in the South but across the nation, as it challenges the progress made by Black Americans in the fight for equality.

The Path Forward

While the current redistricting efforts have already sparked alarm, their long-term implications depend on the outcomes of the 2024 midterms. If successful, these changes could reshape the political landscape for years to come. The VRA, once a safeguard against discrimination, now stands at a crossroads. Advocates argue that its weakening has emboldened lawmakers to target Black voters more aggressively, while critics warn that the law’s decline could lead to a new chapter of disenfranchisement. As the nation prepares for this pivotal election, the balance between electoral strategy and racial justice will be tested more than ever before.